Warning! Long Post!With the presidential campaign in full swing, and a little more than a month to go before the elections arrive, it’s a good idea to take a look at where each of the candidates stand at the moment.
Senator Noynoy AquinoThe apparent heir to the Aquino legacy, Sen. Aquino has found it increasingly difficult to gain lost ground, as his survey results continue to decline. One of the major problems, I think, is that of image, as his campaign managers try to combat those who attack the Senator’s capability to be President. While the Liberal Party appears to have a clear platform, Sen. Aquino lacks his father’s oratorical skills in order to present it to the public; as a result, his ratings have gone down.
It doesn’t help that he has shown too much focus in attacking the incumbent President, promising all sorts of things in order to bring President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo to justice. While it is clear that Arroyo must answer the various charges against her administration, continuously harping on this is a tired theme for many, and I think Filipinos would rather hear what concrete plans the good Senator has to help the nation rise from the slump that it’s in.
I think there are many of us who wish to vote for Aquino, if only to stymie traditional politicians such as Senator Manny Villar and former President and convicted plunderer Joseph Estrada from becoming President. It’s just that he should, in turn, give us a solid reason for us to vote for him.
Senator Manny VillarWhoever is managing Villar’s campaign has been a PR genius, managing to package the former Senate President and House Speaker as a desirable candidate, despite all of the controversies he has faced. The jingles and the TV ads are marvelously done, with a simple message that Villar is (supposedly) one of the poor, and has the wherewithal in order to uplift the nation.
However, from what we have seen of the man, the whole campaign is merely smoke and mirrors, as Villar has shown himself to be a capable transactional politician, managing to bring together such diverse factions as the radical Left (party-list Representatives Satur Ocampo and Liza Maza) and the vestiges of martial law (Ilocos Rep. Bongbong Marcos) into his Senatorial line-up, as well as gain yet another transactional politician, Senator Loren Legarda, as his running mate.
What concessions he promised in order to rig this lineup together remains to be seen. What cannot be ignored are the enormous sums of money Villar is spending in order to get himself elected. Some see it as buying the Presidency outright, which is why, at this point, Senator Noynoy Aquino still leads in the surveys.
Joseph EstradaThe fact that Estrada has managed to gain a respectable third in the surveys is proof of the Filipinos’ forgiving nature and notoriously short historical memory. It does not faze his followers that, in the two and a half years of his presidency, he managed to tarnish the office in a much shorter time than it took President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo to do so. His so-called love for the masses hid the fact that the man engaged in corruption and gambling so badly that he was impeached by the House, and ousted from power when it was clear that he would escape justice through the twelve senators who protected him during the impeachment trial.
If Estrada somehow manages to win, then there is no hope for our country, for we truly deserve the government we elect into office.
Gilbert TeodoroThere are a lot of positives for the former defense secretary; the fact that he is educated, well-spoken, and possessed of a quiet charisma makes a number of people at this point deciding to vote for Teodoro, especially in the colleges and universities. Unfortunately, the student bodies make up a small portion of our voting public, which means that Teodoro still has to work hard at making himself a desirable candidate.
The big negative, of course, is the fact that he is the administration candidate, which means that, like it or not, he will have to answer for all of the controversies and scandals that the Arroyo administration had gotten itself into. While Teodoro has been quietly distancing himself from his patron, as seen in his call for the President to exercise prudence and allow the next president to appoint the next Chief Justice of the Supreme Court, it will probably not be enough, and, in the end, Teodoro is likely to fall by the wayside once all the votes have been tallied.
Senator Richard GordonWith a mature voting public, who would have a solid grasp of issues, Senator Gordon would’ve stood a good chance of getting elected. He is an achiever and a doer, and has the will in order to get things done. Such qualities would’ve been seen as desirable by a voting public which understands the issues.
Unfortunately, this is the Philippines, where personality politics is king, and voters often base their decisions on criteria that have nothing to do with issues. In addition, Senator Gordon threw his hat into the ring a little too late, which means that, like Teodoro, personally a worthy candidate, Gordon will be disappointed in the final tally.
Bro. Eddie VillanuevaWhen the Jesus is Lord (JIL) leader ran in 2004, he lost and lost big to the front-runners of the race, the late actor Fernando Poe Jr., and President Arroyo. Now, he is trying his luck again, this time running with a vice-presidential candidate (Perfecto Yasay) and a partial senatorial slate.
As shown by the surveys, it is likely that Brother Eddie hasn’t managed to resonate with the Filipinos perhaps due to his religion (the Philippines is predominantly nominally Roman Catholic), and perhaps due to the fact that he has not managed to draw any big names in Philippine politics to ally with him. On a personal note, I find his speaking style of referring to himself in the third person a little disconcerting. If others feel the same, it might explain why they are hesitant to vote for a preacher for President.
Senator Jamby MadrigalEver since she became a Senator, Madrigal has been somewhat of a loose cannon, allying herself with the radical Left, and clumsily crossing swords with more veteran Senators. In addition, it appears that she has made it her personal crusade to hound rival candidate Sen. Manny Villar over the C-5 controversy, an issue that the Nacionalista Party candidate has endeavored to avoid facing head on.
Such a one-track minded campaign isn’t going to resonate well with the voters, who expect Madrigal to show competency in other national issues. In addition, she has always come across to me as a person who had no business being in the Senate.
She has also shown an appalling lack of loyalty to those who have helped her in the past. During the campaign, she even managed to alienate actress Judy Ann Santos, who was instrumental in Madrigal’s getting elected to the Senate; Madrigal was quoted as saying that using an entertainer to get elected was a mistake.
Nicanor PerlasThe businessman and environmentalist has managed to come across as serious in his campaign, as he has shown competency in various issues that the candidates have been asked to talk about. However, he is still a small fish in a very large lake, and, while he may be a competent candidate, there is no way that he is going to win.
JC de los ReyesThe Olongapo councilor, a nephew of rival candidate Senator Richard Gordon, has come across as sincere in his beliefs and well-meaning in his desire to serve. Unfortunately, his forays into the forums have shown that he still has a lot to learn in order to be considered as a serious candidate.
I’ll probably revisit the candidates one more time before May 10, but, in the next posts about the elections, I’ll begin focusing on the other positions up for grabs, particularly the Senate, which has been regarded as the bastion which has held its ground against the Arroyo administration. Will the Senate maintain that image? It remains to be seen.
In the meantime, it appears that, for the presidential candidates, the campaign is still very fluid, and it is likely that, before the elections actually arrive, there will still be a lot of movement in the surveys, particularly with the front and middle runners.